Sunday, August 03, 2014

REVERSE: Tough Policing Brings Sharp Drop In Robberies

This graph shows the number of robberies recorded
on current police beats 1923, 1924, and 1925
from January 1 through July 31 of each year.
Source: City of Chicago Data Portal
An increase in the number of police officers assigned to overnight shifts combined with more aggressive policing tactics have driven robberies in Wrigleyville and Boystown down to their lowest level since 2010—a rate that is in line with what the neighborhood saw before it experienced three record-breaking years of violent crime.

"We have been able to fully staff the [overnight shift] which helps tremendously," 19th District Commander Elias Voulgaris told us in an email.

Graph showing the number of officers assigned to
the current 19th district at various times since 2011.
Source: Chicago Police Department
And, after losing 27% of our police officers in two years, the 19th district has recently added a (very) modest number officers to its rolls. The district still has fewer total officers than it did last summer.

"Even a few helps," Voulgaris said. "Ultimately, though, it's the hard work of our officers and their visibility and the arrests they make which sends a message."

Perception Problem

Chicago Police Superintendent Garry McCarthy put on a dog and pony show for a few aldermen last Friday, serving up a bunch of word salad about why people should trust him and his statistics.

McCarthy had his own take on why robberies are suddenly down in our neighborhood: It's his management system, called CompStat:
[It is] an illustration of the district's Comstat [sic] tactics, which call for timely, accurate intelligence with crime stats identifying problem areas, rapid deployment to those areas, effective tactics against the given crimes and "relentless follow-up and assessment."
Did you catch that? Our neighborhood suffered through three consecutive years—years—of record-breaking robbery levels. Now, suddenly, we're gaining a few cops and robberies are being knocked back into shape. McCarthy calls three years of trouble "timely" and "rapid deployment?" Sorry, Garry. Compstat is not the reason things may be on the brink of changing here.

For years, citizens at monthly CAPS meetings repeatedly told the police department that there was a problem brewing. Some even brought statistics with them, only to be stared at, to have CAPS officers play dumb, and to have absolutely, positively nothing done. 

Our alderman played right along. Denying. Ignoring. Staring into space (he's really good at that). He allowed his constituents and visitors to be beaten and robbed in record numbers in order to protect the neighborhood's reputation.

Friday, Alderman Tom Tunney said the crime issue here has reached the point that "it’s embarrassing for me to be in front of my community groups."

Good.
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26 comments:

  1. All businesses on Halsted should be "embarrassed" too with all those squad cars sitting in front of them tonight

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  2. Does anyone besides me boycott Ann Sathers?
    I just can't bring myself to patronage Tunney's business.

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    Replies
    1. His sticky buns have become dry and tasteless, I'm afraid. Last time I was there average age of patrons was about 89, and average weight of the men about 275.

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    2. Yes. I totally boycott them. Although I like the cinnamon rolls, boycotting Ann Searchers has been good for my waistline and as such no matters what else happens im keeping my boycott going. :)

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    3. Yep. Like Anonymous above, I love the cinnamon rolls but I refuse to patronize Tunney's business. I used to come up to eat there all the time not knowing what I know now. As soon as I moved to Tunney's "turf", I learned about him and stopped going and will never return.

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    4. I like the cinnamon rolls, too, but haven't had one since I discovered this blog in july of 2013. If Tunney doesn't support me there is no way I'll support him.

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    5. My friends and I boycott them ever since I got mugged and Tunney's office didn't care. The food is crap anyway. It wasn't exactly that hard to not go there.

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  3. WoW .. what is the actual # more to make a difference? C'mon .. if "EVEN A FEW" is an actual truth, how thoroughly embarrassing, insulting, even fiendish. All the suffering folks who've been mercilessly victimized, scarred, brutalized and damaged and the loved ones who lost someone must be thrilled to know this. Thank God if it's really down.. but I don't know whether to be so relieved, cry or throw something.

    $$$

    "We have been able to fully staff the [overnight shift] which helps tremendously," 19th District Commander Elias Voulgaris told us in an email.

    And, after losing 27% of our police officers in two years, the 19th district has recently added a (very) modest number officers to its rolls.

    "Even a few helps," Voulgaris said. "Ultimately, though, it's the hard work of our officers and their visibility and the arrests they make which sends a message."

    ReplyDelete
  4. Alderman Tunney should be ashamed not feel embarrassed. Two very different things! He has the power to make a difference and has repeatedly CHOSEN not to. Shame, shame, shame!!!

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    Replies
    1. If the fine constituents of Ward 44 re-elect this bobo, you have nobody to blame but yourselves.

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  5. First, THANK YOU to our officers in 019. We really do appreciate what you have to put up with.
    Next, CWB, does this sharp drop in crime mesh with YOUR stats?
    And I hate to say this but......what role did a lot of cool rainy nights play in the drop in crime.
    The Center on Halsted seems to be making attempts at cleaning up the mess they helped create, and if we can just get the Broadway Youth Center and the Crib to get a little tougher instead of just offering free beds, play time and a home address to these people, maybe more change will happen.
    The drop in crime is encouraging, but as CWB mentioned above, there's a long list of traumatized victims my heart goes out to.

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    Replies
    1. "The Center on Halsted seems to be making attempts at cleaning up the mess they helped create".

      Pray tell what they are doing. I'd really like to know. I do really and truly hope that they are. And that they realize what state of fuck they have put us all in. Horrific "neighbors" they've been.

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  6. No they shouldn't we want the Police presence. Like it used to be in the olden days we had tons of Police cars, 4 wheelers all up and down Halsted. Would you rather have boarded up store fronts? People complain when when we don't have police then find fault when we do. I don't get it. Every time I see a Police in East Lakeview on foot or in cars I am happy to see them.

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  7. The two charts detailing robberies in W & B do not match. The blue line chart shows robberies decrease from 2012 to 2013, while the red line chart shows robberies increase from 2012 to 2013. I guess it's all in the numbers.

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    Replies
    1. The charts are clearly labeled and detail different periods of time. The blue within this story charts robberies through July of each year; the red in the right column is full-year.

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  8. so it is time to act because Tunney is embarrassed?

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  9. hey SUP, want another double? i'm buying..........

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  10. Good now how are burglaries? Also what are stats on other violent crimes in 019?

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  11. Well done officers and on the Aldercreature embarrassed into action front, well done CWB!

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  12. Tom Tunney is skating on thin ice as far as the upcoming election goes. McCarthy's job is on the line, and Emmanuel doesn't want to have either of them chained to his ankles like balls and chains when he's so down in the pols...of course we're going to see some movement in police activity, and some effort by COH to clean up their mess. The plan is to go into the election with a message that they're all turning things around , and we just need to give them more time. They're afraid.

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  13. Um, yeah, it reached "embarrassing" levels years ago bro........not sure where you've been.

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  14. Guess what Tommy? You may be embarrassed that your ward's residents can't venture out of their homes without being robbed and beaten at all times of the day...yet we are embarrassed to have you representing us as our Alderman.

    Don't worry though....I will do everything I can to get you fired asap.

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  15. It's only embarrassing if it's close to an election, otherwise we'd be on our own.

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  16. im glad to see these stats but am cautiously optimistic. in general, though, i would love to know what specifically has been done or has changed so suddenly - what constitutes "tough policing"? street stops?

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  17. Don't get so excited people. Crime rises and falls day to day, week to week, month to month. There are a LOT of variables that influence criminal trends. Robberies will rise dramatically in the next few weeks. Why? The festival season is winding down which means more people will return to the entertainment hot spots - bars and restaurants - instead of Taste, Lolla, Sheffield Walk, Fiesta del Sol, etc. More victims will mean more crime. Don't believe me? Watch. Time will tell.

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