Tuesday, August 20, 2013

DAILY TICKER: Tuesday, August 20, 2013

The city released info on two robberies this morning. The first incident is linked to CWB's original report.

HW405232 12 Aug 21:35 3300 N HALSTED ROBBERY ARMED:KNIFE/CUTTING INSTRUMENT ALLEY 1924
HW405764 12 Aug 23:20 3700 N SHEFFIELD ROBBERY STRONGARM - NO WEAPON SIDEWALK 1923


The CWB Daily Ticker is a dashboard of the most up-to-date robbery statistics possible for our neighborhood over the past year, 5 years, and 10 years.

As we've often said, our problem did not spring up overnight. It has built and built over several years. Simply comparing this year to last year misses the huge increase that we saw in 2011 and 2012. The dashboard shows the bigger picture.

Our source is the city itself, with robbery data taken from the City of Chicago Data Portal. In the event of an outage or update failure at the data portal, information is obtained from the Chicago Police Department web site. The city quarantines crime data for at least 7 days.

The complete list of 2013 robberies is here.
The complete list of 2012 robberies is here.
The complete list of 2008 robberies is here.
The complete list of 2003 robberies is here.

Beat ranking information is from the Chicago Police Department web site.

Our standard statement regarding historical data applies:

The city quarantines crime data for at least 7 days.

The CPD realigned our area's police beats in March 2012. The lines that divide Chicago police beats literally run down the middle of their shared streets and it is not possible to know with certainty which side of a street crimes were reported on before March 4, 2012.  In order to maintain consistency across all years, we have included all robberies that were reported on both sides of the border streets (Irving Park Road, Southport Avenue, and Belmont Avenue) in our calculations. As a result, our post-March 4, 2012, stats may vary slightly from official records.

Also, note that very recent crime totals may fluctuate slightly as incidents are investigated and recategorized. These fluctuations settle out fairly quickly.

5 comments:

  1. The chart says it all, Commander Voulgaris. You can't lie your way around this, but you can distort and ignore it......you know, like you have been doing.

    ReplyDelete
  2. I love the Ticker. What do you think about adding a "Projected total" line to further highlight the problem? Looking at 8/13's ticker, we're already at 148 robberies, which is 95% of 2012's robbery total of 155.

    Projected out, 2013 will end with 209 robberies, or a 35% increase in robberies!

    Cmd. Voulgaris, how are you addressing a projected 35% increase in robberies in our community!? ...oh I forgot, crime is down. Never mind.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Anonymous said...
    I love the Ticker. What do you think about adding a "Projected total" line to further highlight the problem? Looking at 8/13's ticker, we're already at 148 robberies, which is 95% of 2012's robbery total of 155.

    Projected out, 2013 will end with 209 robberies, or a 35% increase in robberies!

    Cmd. Voulgaris, how are you addressing a projected 35% increase in robberies in our community!? ...oh I forgot, crime is down. Never mind.
    ---------------
    Thanks for the compliment, Anonymous! We love the Ticker, too. We almost called it the "up-Ticker," but we figured that'd be a little too inside.

    Projections are an idea. We're more apt to stick with reporting what has happened vs. try to predict the future. There are too many variables for us to make educated guesses.

    Also, we should point out that the 155 total is 2012's year to date total, not the total for the full year. The full year total was 234, an all-time record. Belated congratulations, Commander!

    ReplyDelete
  4. Best to avoid projections. You're wise to stick to the facts. You can stand behind them, and they are bad enough.

    ReplyDelete
  5. As sundown gets earlier each day, with Daylight time ending in early November, expect these incidents to get earlier and earlier, with a jolt in November evenings.

    Anyone with half a brain can apply 8th Grade math and extrapolate and annualize stats based on 8 months. There is no reason for CWB to do it for them with sunrise and sunset working against you with unpredictable results. It would also lead to a pointless argument with the 19th Pct's idiot commandant who is busy lying as instructed to Emperor Rahm The Crooked .

    ReplyDelete